Absent forward-looking policy risks, the Fed would likely already be cutting interest rates. But in the wake of those risks, stickier inflation and a tighter labor market may be ahead. For that reason, we believe the Fed is likely to stay on pause for as long as possible.
Read Macro Pulse Report: Macro in the Midyear Sun
The Empire of IOU: The Future of U.S. Sovereign Debt
Julia Hermann hosts Steven Friedman, Managing Director and Senior Macroeconomist at MacKay Shields, for a special recording of Market Matters on the 34th floor of the New York Life building in Manhattan. Join Julia and Steve for a deep dive into the sustainability – or lack thereof – of public debt in the United States. Can the U.S. keep up its pace of spending? What does the Big Beautiful Bill mean for the debt trajectory? Are interest payments spiraling out of control? We answer these questions and more on this week’s episode.
Political and Policy Pressures on the Fed
Will the Fed cut or hold? Julia Hermann explores new sources of pressure on Fed policy, including a broader spectrum of policy uncertainty, political scrutiny, and the market recovery.
2025 | Trust or Bust: The Next Era of Global Debt Sustainability
The choices governments make will shape long-term capital markets assumptions around inflation, interest rates, and potential growth; and will influence asset allocation.
A global debt sustainability framework:
Capitalize on the shifting (and growing) global private markets landscape
Key investor questions:
Prospective investors should be aware that investments in private funds or alternative investment strategies are suitable only for qualified investors who do not require liquidity and who can bear the economic risk, including the potential for a complete loss, of their investment. Investors are encouraged to consult their tax or legal advisors before making such investments.
Podcast: Checking in on the U.S. Private Markets with Apogem and Bow River
About Global Market Strategy
Our team of market strategists connects macroeconomics to asset allocation. We provide actionable insight into market-driving events, structural themes, and portfolio construction to empower investment decision-making.
Lauren Goodwin, CFA
Chief Market Strategist
Julia Hermann, CFA
Global Market Strategist
Michael LoGalbo, CFA
Global Market Strategist
Sarah Hirsch
Global Market Strategist
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