By now, most people paying attention to market news have learned about the power of a short squeeze. Unlike being long an equity with a limited downside of -100%, the theoretical unlimited upside to prices means that being short has no limit to how much can be lost. As a price rises, a short seller is forced to buy into the rise either by a margin requirement or because they hit their threshold of how much they are willing to lose, and that added buying pressure exacerbates the rise in prices. Take an equity which has a finite number of shares outstanding, with a large percentage of its total market cap sold short and, like the case of GameStop (GME), the domino effect can be tremendous.
So why were all of these hedge funds shorting GameStop to begin with? Being a company that sells physical media-based games in brick and mortar store fronts in the age of cloud-based gaming and online retail, the outlook has been a bit grim. Hedge funds shorted over 130% of the outstanding shares of GME. Retail investors took notice and decided to buy shares of GME, presumably with the hope of driving the price high enough to trigger the hedge funds to have to buy back the shares, forcing a “short squeeze” that would drive the price even higher. And they were largely successful not only in GME but other stocks as well.
So how did the GME activity affect liquid alternative long/short funds? When it comes to liquid alternative funds that seek to provide exposure to alternative strategies, including Long/Short, there are two general approaches to implementation: active or passive.
On the actively-managed side, managers attempt to identify individual securities and/or asset classes that exhibit short or long biases using manager experience combined with professional networks and other publicly available data including SEC Form 13F, a report required to be filed by all institutional asset managers with $100 million or more in assets under management. An active manager would then implement the positions while meeting the liquidity guidelines of ‘40 Act Funds required by the SEC that provide disclosure regarding fund liquidity and redemption practices to enhance funds’ management of their liquidity risks and better protect investors. With GameStop having such a large percent of its outstanding shares short, there is potential for active managers to piggyback on the short-biased trade and also position a short exposure.
For a passive or indexed approach, such as the systematic, rules-based process IndexIQ developed for its suite of liquid alternative hedge fund replication ETFs, including the IQ Hedge Long/Short Tracker ETF (QLS), a regression approach can help identify which asset classes generally exhibit long or short exposure, as shown in the chart below:
IndexIQ Hedge Fund Replication Index Construction: Systematic, Rules-Based Investment Process
Source: IndexIQ. For illustrative purposes only.
For example, a hedge fund index is comprised of many individual fund managers. As the underlying positions are aggregated, the asset classes that are the primary driver of risk/return are identified. Liquid ETFs are then used to represent each asset class, effectively creating an exposure resembling a Long/Short strategy, without the individual security selection risk. However, while single-manager risk is reduced, the potentially significant alpha that one single successful active hedge fund manager may experience through individual security selection would also not be available.
To demonstrate how this significant localized event had a dampened effect on a passive asset-class driven strategy like QLS, we compared GME trading activity (Chart 1) to the performance of the Morningstar Long/Short Equity peer group (Chart 2), comprised of actively managed mutual funds and ETFs from January 12 to January 31 to the IQ Hedge Long/Short Tracker ETF (QLS). It stands to reason that the substantial losses as demonstrated by the peer group may have stemmed from active funds that implemented a long/short equity approach at the individual security level with a short exposure to GME.
Chart 1. GameStop Stock Price ($)
Source: Bloomberg, IndexIQ. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Chart 2. Long/Short Equity Mutual Fund & ETF Performance (%)
Source: Morningstar, IndexIQ. Long/Short Equity mutual funds and ETFs represented by the Morningstar Long/Short Equity category. Max is highest return amongst the funds in the category; Median is the return of the fund at the middle of the category sorted in numerical order; AUM Weighted is the overall return of the category reflecting the asset bases of the underlying funds; Min is the lowest return amongst the funds in the cateogory. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
The benefits of a passive approach to hedge fund replication were also demonstrated by the multiple and massive liquidity events of the 2008 Great Financial Crisis that exposed the Bernie Madoff investment scandal. At the time, the Bernie Madoff investment fund, known as the “world’s largest hedge fund”, was classified as a market neutral hedge fund and was comprised of several individual market neutral hedge funds. As many of the underlying funds in the Madoff investment fund were constituents of the Credit Suisse Hedge Market Neutral Index, a popular market neutral hedge fund index, we believe this event was a substantial contributor to the negative impact experienced by the market neutral hedge fund category as a whole.
As shown in Chart 3 below, the IQ Hedge Market Neutral Index, the underlying index of the IQ Hedge Market Neutral Tracker ETF (QMN), experienced less drawdown that the Credit Suisse index during the time of the Madoff event that started in October 2008. Similar to the IQ Hedge Long/Short Index, the IQ Hedge Market Neutral Index is not exposed to the individual investments of hedge funds, but rather seeks to replicate the overall asset class exposures:
Chart 3. Market Neutral Hedge Fund Performance
Source: IndexIQ. Market Neutral Hedge Funds are represented by the Credit Suisse Hedge Market Neutral Index. Max is highest return amongst the funds in the category; Median is the return of the fund at the middle of the category sorted in numerical order; Min is the lowest return amongst the funds in the cateogory. It is not possible to invest directly into an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
The choice between alpha and beta, or active and passive, has been age-long. Many categories of strategies have seen a shift towards the lower cost passive side as ETFs proliferated. IndexIQ pioneered the development of alternative strategies in an ETF vehicle, an efficient way to provide exposure to these hedge fund styles without the localized risk of individual security selection.
Historically, the IQ Hedge Long/Short Tracker ETF (QLS) has held true to its beta approach avoiding the wide dispersion of managers that can significantly vary away from the median return amongst funds in the Morningstar Long/Short Equity Category, as shown in Chart 4 below:
Chart 4. Long/Short Equity Mutual Funds and ETFs Performance (%)
Source: Morningstar Long/Short Equity Category, IndexIQ, January 1, 2016 – December 31, 2020. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
IQ Hedge Long/Short Tracker ETF (QLS) - Average Annual Total Returns (%) as of 12/31/2020
Returns represent past performance which is no guarantee of future results. Current performance may be lower or higher. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate, and shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Expenses stated are as of the fund's most recent prospectus.
Index performance is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent actual Fund performance. One cannot invest directly in an index. Performance data for the Index assumes reinvestment of dividends and is net of the management fees for the Index's components, as applicable, but it does not reflect management fees, transaction costs or other expenses that you would pay if you invested in the Fund directly. No representation is being made that any investment will achieve performance similar to that shown.
1. Harry Markopolos statement to the SEC, November 7, 2005: The World’s Largest Hedge Fund is a Fraud.
Before considering an investment in the Fund, you should understand that you could lose money.
QLS: The Fund's investment performance, because it is a fund of funds, depends on the investment performance of the underlying ETFs in which it invests. There is no guarantee that the Fund itself, or any of the ETFs in the Fund's portfolio, will perform exactly as its underlying index. The Fund's underlying ETFs invest in: foreign securities, which subject them to risk of loss not typically associated with domestic markets, such as currency fluctuations and political uncertainty; commodities markets, which subject them to greater volatility than investments in traditional securities, such as stocks and bonds; and fixed income securities, which subject them to credit risk –the possibility that the issuer of a security will be unable to make interest payments and/or repay the principal on its debt –and interest rate risk –changes in the value of a fixed-income security resulting from changes in interest rates. Leverage, including borrowing, will cause some of the Fund’s underlying ETFs to be more volatile than if the underlying ETFs had not been leveraged.
QMN: The Fund's investment performance, because it is a fund of funds, depends on the investment performance of the underlying ETFs in which it invests. There is no guarantee that the Fund itself, or any of the ETFs in the Fund's portfolio, will perform exactly as its underlying index. The Fund's underlying ETFs invest in: foreign securities, which subject them to risk of loss not typically associated with domestic markets, such as currency fluctuations and political uncertainty; commodities markets, which subject them to greater volatility than investments in traditional securities, such as stocks and bonds; and fixed income securities, which subject them to credit risk –the possibility that the issuer of a security will be unable to make interest payments and/or repay the principal on its debt –and interest rate risk –changes in the value of a fixed-income security resulting from changes in interest rates. Leverage, including borrowing, will cause some of the Fund’s underlying ETFs to be more volatile than if the underlying ETFs had not been leveraged. The Fund does not invest in hedge funds and the Index does not include hedge funds as components. The Fund is not suitable for all investors. The Fund may experience a portfolio turnover rate of over 100% that will increase transaction costs and may generate short-term capital gains which are taxable.
Liquid alternatives (liquid alts) are alternative investment strategies that are available through alternative investment vehicles such as mutual funds, ETFs, and closed-end funds that provide daily liquidity.
A '40 Act fund is a pooled investment vehicle offered by a registered investment company as defined in the 1940 Investment Companies Act (commonly referred to in the United States as the '40 Act or, in some instances, the Investment Company Act (ICA).
Active management refers to a portfolio management strategy where the manager makes specific investments with the goal of outperforming an investment benchmark index or target return. Fees for actively manages strategies are generally higher that passive or indexed strategies.
Alpha is a measure of performance, indicating when a strategy, trader, or portfolio manager has managed to beat the market return over some period. Alpha, often considered the active return on an investment, gauges the performance of an investment against a market index or benchmark that is considered to represent the market’s movement as a whole.
Beta measures the broad market's overall volatility or risk, known as systematic market risk.
The Madoff investment scandal was a major case of stock and securities fraud discovered in late 2008 where prosecutors estimated the size of the fraud to be $64.8 billion, based on the amounts in the accounts of Madoff's 4,800 clients as of November 30, 2008, and the largest ponzi scheme in history.
The Credit Suisse Market Neutral Index is a subset of the Credit Suisse AllHedge Index that measures the aggregate performance of equity market neutral funds.
The IQ Hedge Market Neutral Index seeks to replicate the risk-adjusted return characteristics of the collective hedge funds using a market neutral hedge fund investment style. The IQ Hedge Market Neutral Index is the exclusive property of IndexIQ which has contracted with Solactive to maintain and calculate the Index.
Consider the Fund's investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses carefully before investing. The prospectus and the statement of additional information include this and other relevant information about the Fund and are available by visiting www.newyorklifeinvestments.com or calling 888-474-7725. Read the prospectus carefully before investing.
Fund shares are not individually redeemable and will be issued and redeemed at their NAV only through certain authorized broker-dealers in large, specified blocks of shares called "creation units", and otherwise, can be bought and sold only through exchange trading. Creation units are issued and redeemed principally in-kind.
"New York Life Investments" is both a service mark, and the common trade name, of certain investment advisors affiliated with New York Life Insurance Company. IndexIQ® is the indirect wholly owned subsidiary of New York Life Investment Management Holdings LLC and serves as the advisor to the IndexIQ ETFs. ALPS Distributors, Inc. (ALPS) is the principal underwriter of the ETFs, and NYLIFE Distributors LLC is a distributor of the ETFs. NYLIFE Distributors LLC is located at 30 Hudson Street, Jersey City, NJ 07302. ALPS Distributors, Inc. is not affiliated with NYLIFE Distributors LLC. NYLIFE Distributors LLC is a Member FINRA/SIPC.
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